The Iran War Shows how Prediction Markets Can Leak Intelligence


Knowing war intel can be profitable but risky

On Strategic Waiting


By Alexandros Sainidis In boxing timing beats speed. If you catch the right moment, the glove can reach a fast-moving chin and inflict a knock-out blow. An alternative version of David and Goliath could be of speed and waiting. Waiting is viewed as a state rather than an action, though this is a simplification. It … Continue reading On Strategic Waiting